By virtue of a historic win at BMO Field a month ago, Canada hold first place in Nations League Group A with a perfect nine points heading into its final group stage match.
A win or draw would put John Herdman’s squad into the tournament’s final four and earn them valuable points in the FIFA rankings as they seek to reach the 2022 FIFA World Cup.
Live @Concacaf rankings following last night's play:
5th Honduras 1368
6th Canada 1339
7th El Salvador 1336
8th Curacao 1313
9th Panama 1310— Duane Rollins (@24thminute) November 15, 2019
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Best case for Canada would be if El Salvador somehow screwed up again. Realistic best case is— Duane Rollins (@24thminute) November 15, 2019
6th - Canada 1356
7th - El Salvador 1346
Worst case is:
6th - El Salvador 1346
7th - Panama 1339
8th - Canada 1331
6th - El Salvador 1346
7th - Canada 1343
Following the 2-0 victory in Toronto a month ago, Canada moved into a top-six spot among Concacaf teams where they need to be in June 2020 to ensure a spot in the Concacaf Hexagonal for FIFA World Cup qualifying. But there is little room for comfort, with El Salvador, Curacao and Panama all within striking distance.
“The USA have their motivations for this match, but for us it is another cup final, another game that could decide our fate for qualification to the Hex, so we will give absolutely everything we have to move this country one step closer to achieving that goal,” Herdman said.
Canada have already secured a berth in the 2021 Concacaf Gold Cup by guaranteeing a place in the top two teams in the group. The US have also effectively sealed their qualification, given their huge goal-differential advantage over bottom-placed Cuba.
A USMNT win would pull them within three points of Canada heading into the final group stage match against Cuba on Nov. 19. Canada currently have a +4 goal differential advantage over the USMNT. While U.S. Soccer Sporting Director Earnie Stewart said ahead of the game that his view of Berhalter will not be impacted by what happens against Canada, missing out on a place in the Nations League semifinals will not have been on the agenda.