MLS Fantasy: Who's the best value for points off of total shots?

David Villa - New York City FC - Fantasy


Reid and Mike are joined by special Patreon guest Sherry Snyder to review the top fantasy points from Round 27 and preview all of the games from Round 28. Everyone also gives their opinion on the value of Atlanta players as they start their big run of doublegame weeks, and we learn the secret to Patreon listner team building success.



Goals and assists get the attention, but a good area for MLS Fantasy managers to get a leg up on their competition is shots. Bonus points from shots are very valuable to the savvy manager. As we begin the final six rounds of the 2017 Fantasy season, I thought it would be a good time to review which players are generating the most points from their shots relative to their price.


Total Shots


Let's start with the top 15 shot takers from all positions.

Player
Club
Pos
Mins
G
Shots
Sebastian Giovinco
TOR
F
1877
15
116
David Villa
NYC
F
2155
19
112
Nemanja Nikolic
CHI
F
2422
17
92
Maxi Urruti
DAL
F
2211
12
89
Clint Dempsey
SEA
M
1767
11
85
Joao Plata
RSL
F
1903
7
78
Diego Valeri
POR
M
2379
17
78
Ola Kamara
CLB
F
2417
15
77
Romain Alessandrini
LA
M
1856
9
75
Carlos Rivas
ORL
M
1838
5
74
Bradley Wright-Phillips
NY
F
2175
15
74
Kei Kamara
NE
F
1973
11
72
Fredy Montero
VAN
F
1980
11
72
Sebastian Blanco
POR
M
2339
5
69
Miguel Almiron
ATL
M
2089
8
68

There are few surprises in this list, with the one exception possibly being Miguel Almiron ranking at the bottom of the table. Still, it’s basically a who’s who of top fantasy point earners. Also I think it’s important to point out that the only two players who currently have one 100+ shots are the No. 1 and No. 2 most expensive players in the game. But are they worth it?


Shot points per million


Now let’s see how the top 15 changes when we look at total points generated by shots and account for price. To get this number, I added the total number of bonus points each of the top 25 players have earned from their shots to the number of points from goals scored. I then divided this number by each player’s price to get their shot points per million.

Player
Club
Pos
Mins
G
Shots
SOG
SOG%
Fantasy Price (Millions)
Shot Points/Million
Nemanja Nikolic
CHI
F
2422
17
92
44
47.8
10.3
9.42
David Villa
NYC
F
2155
19
112
44
39.3
12.3
9.27
Erick Torres
HOU
F
1740
14
65
24
36.9
8.7
9.08
Ola Kamara
CLB
F
2417
15
77
33
42.9
10.7
7.94
Diego Valeri
POR
M
2379
17
78
32
41
11.8
7.88
Bradley Wright-Phillips
NY
F
2175
15
74
31
41.9
10.7
7.85
Maxi Urruti
DAL
F
2211
12
89
35
39.3
9.5
7.68
David Accam
CHI
M
1855
14
56
33
58.9
10.2
7.25
Chris Wondolowski
SJ
F
2501
11
58
21
36.2
8.4
7.02
Sebastian Giovinco
TOR
F
1877
15
116
47
40.5
13.4
6.94
Ignacio Piatti
MTL
M
1828
15
57
31
54.4
11.7
6.84
Fredy Montero
VAN
F
1980
11
72
26
36.1
9.2
6.74
Clint Dempsey
SEA
M
1767
11
85
28
32.9
10.1
6.73
Jozy Altidore
TOR
F
1932
13
61
26
42.6
10.5
6.67
Fanendo Adi
POR
F
1885
10
66
28
42.4
9.3
6.45

Nemanja Nikolic and David Villa stay in the top three of this new table but Sebastian Giovinco plummets down to 10th due to his high price. He is replaced by Erick Torres, who has been preforming much better than his sub-$9 million price tag would suggest. Other notable absences include Romain Alessandrini and Miguel Almiron.


The steep drop stating at fourth place makes me question the value of every player outside of the top three. Of course, this chart just looks are points from shots and many of these players generate significant and consistent points in other areas. The top three are the only players earning 9+ shot points per million dollars of player value, so if you’re looking for a pure goal scoring machine, then it’s clear that these three are worth their price tag. 


Note: Almiron will start a long run of home games in Round 28 so he could jump up the list is he starts finding the net again.
Who do you think is worth every fantasy penny of their transfer cost? Let us know in the comments below!

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