From the more things change, the more they stay the same file, Toronto FC and the Seattle Sounders are on pace to clash in the MLS Cup Final for the fourth time in the last five years, according to the latest FiveThirtyEight projections.
Toronto FC also increased their odds of finishing with the best regular-season record, with the probability for Greg Vanney’s side now 65 percent, up from 51 percent last week.
The Union, who take on the New England Revolution on Monday (7: 30 pm ET | TV & streaming info) hoping to keep pace with TFC ahead of their weekend clash at Subaru Park, are second favorites at 15 percent, ahead of the Sounders (10 percent) and Columbus (6 percent).
Check out the full projections here, and digest the current first place and MLS Cup favorites below:
FiveThirtyEight: Projected MLS Cup Chances
- Toronto FC - 16%
- Seattle Sounders - 16%
- Philadelphia Union - 10%
- LAFC - 9%
- New York City FC - 7%