After a busy Wednesday night that saw the Seattle Sounders move above the red line, MLS is back in action this weekend with many crucial games.
D.C. United head up to Toronto (7:30 pm ET; MLS LIVE in US | TSN2 in Canada) to face a TFC side who are currently holding on to the No. 1 seed in the East, while United could clinch a playoff berth with a win.
Sporting Kansas City and the New England Revolution meet at Gillette Stadium (7:30 pm ET; MLS LIVE) in a game that both teams need, while FC Dallas could get closer to clinching the Supporters' Shield with a win against the LA Galaxy (9 pm ET; MLS LIVE).
If the regular season ended today ...
Eastern Conference Playoff Bracket
Conference Semifinals
1. Toronto FC
Conference Semifinals
2. New York Red Bulls
Knockout Round
3. New York City FC
VS.
6. D.C. United
Knockout Round
4. Philadelphia Union
VS.
5. Montreal Impact
Western Conference Playoff Bracket
Conference Semifinals
1. FC Dallas
Conference Semifinals
2. Colorado Rapids
Knockout Round
3. LA Galaxy
VS.
6. Seattle Sounders
Knockout Round
4. Real Salt Lake
VS.
5. Sporting Kansas City
Strength of Schedule and Expected Points
The strength of schedule metric takes into account the average points per game (PPG) that each team's opponents earn at home and on the road. The lower the PPG, the easier the schedule.
For example, if FC Dallas traveled to play the LA Galaxy, who have averaged 2.5 PPG at home, and then hosted the Vancouver Whitecaps, who have averaged 1.53 PPG on the road, their opponents' PPG would be 2.02.
The Expected Points metric is strictly based off of what teams have done up to this point. For example, New York City FC have collected 1.69 points per game at home this season and 1.40 on the road. So if they continue averaging those totals, with five more home games left and four more road games, they would be expected to collect 52.49 points.
Here are both the Strength of Schedule and Expected Points rankings for each conference:

TEAM |
EXPECTED POINTS |
---|---|
Toronto FC |
53.98 |
New York Red Bulls |
53.48 |
New York City FC |
52.49 |
Philadelphia Union |
46.61 |
Montreal Impact |
44.70 |
D.C. United |
43.35 |
New England Revolution |
40.02 |
Orlando City SC |
38.75 |
Columbus Crew SC |
35.37 |
Chicago Fire |
30.60 |

TEAM |
EXPECTED POINTS |
---|---|
FC Dallas |
58.72 |
Colorado Rapids |
56.99 |
LA Galaxy |
52.20 |
Real Salt Lake |
48.80 |
Sporting Kansas City |
46.61 |
Seattle Sounders |
46.47 |
Portland Timbers |
43.99 |
Vancouver Whitecaps FC |
38.68 |
San Jose Earthquakes |
38.53 |
Houston Dynamo |
38.05 |