2017 MLS ball close-up - adidas Nativo

We're in the home stretch of the 2017 season and teams are battling to get above the playoff line.


We know who's above and below it according to the current standings, but given the fact that teams have played a differing amount of games and have different strengths of schedule, it would be better to look at some different numbers to try and determine who has the best chance of reaching the Audi 2017 MLS Cup Playoffs.


FiveThirtyEight.com provides those numbers using forecasts and SPI ratings, which you can read more about here. If you want to see your team's odds to get a first-round bye, win Supporters' Shield or win MLS Cup, you can find out here.


Those numbers are updated live shortly after a game is completed.


Below, you can find the probability that your team will reach the playoffs.


Eastern Conference


  1. Toronto FC - clinched
  2. New York City FC - >99%
  3. Chicago Fire - >99%
  4. Atlanta United - >99%
  5. New York Red Bulls - 96%
  6. Columbus Crew SC - 94%
  7. Montreal Impact - 4%
  8. New England Revolution - 4%
  9. Orlando City SC - 3%
  10. Philadelphia Union - <1%
  11. D.C. United - <1%


Western Conference


  1. Vancouver Whitecaps FC - 99%
  2. Sporting Kansas City - 99%
  3. Seattle Sounders - 98%
  4. Portland Timbers - 97%
  5. Houston Dynamo - 69%
  6. FC Dallas - 61%
  7. San Jose Earthquakes - 49%
  8. Real Salt Lake - 28%
  9. Minnesota United FC - <1%
  10. LA Galaxy - <1%
  11. Colorado Rapids - <1%


ExtraTime Radio Podcast

Playoff probabilities for every MLS team after Week 28 -


LISTEN: Your US Open Cup final preview is here. Which team has more at stake? Plus, Atlanta's setting records and playing some of the most entertaining soccer in MLS. Andrew was among the 70,000-plus on hand to see Orlando batter for a 3-3 draw, and the guys wade in on all the action in the East, where the top six seem set. Meanwhile, the West may not be best, but it sure is fun now that the playoff race is a full-on free-for-all. Subscribe now and "Like" our Facebook page so you never miss a show! Download this episode!