MLS Cup trophy with MLS in background - December 2018

Teams in MLS are currently somewhere past the one-third mark of the 2019 regular season, with some teams having played a full 40 percent of their slates. With a good run of the campaign already in the books, where do the 24 teams' playoff odds currently sit?


FiveThirtyEight maintains regularly updated odds on each side's odds of reaching the Audi 2019 MLS Cup Playoffs, as well as teams' prospects of earning a first-round bye, winning the Supporters' Shield and even winning MLS Cup.


No surprise, LAFC sit atop the odds in all four categories. They are hovering around 99 percent to make the postseason, with an 83 percent chance of getting a first-round bye, and a 40 percent chance at present of winning MLS Cup. The current Shield leaders, they have a 70 percent probability of taking that title in FiveThirtyEight's current odds.


At the other end, the Colorado Rapids, fresh off their first win of the season, have considerable work to do to reach the postseason, as they currently have just a two percent chance of getting into the playoffs.


Here are the current playoff odds for all MLS teams as of publication, per FiveThirtyEight, where you can check out the full projections.


TeamOdds to make playoffs as of May 20
LAFC>99%
Atlanta United 94%
Philadelphia Union92%
Seattle Sounders 90%
NYCFC 88%
Houston Dynamo81%
LA Galaxy80%
D.C. United79%
Montreal Impact78%
New York Red Bulls70%
Toronto FC70%
Portland Timbers69%
Minnesota United60%
Real Salt Lake 60%
FC Dallas60%
Sporting KC58%
Chicago Fire38%
Columbus Crew SC36%
Orlando City SC30%
San Jose Earthquakes26%
FC Cincinnati14%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC14%
New England Revolution10%
Colorado Rapids 2%