Red Line Report: Can DC United, Seattle move away from their competition?

After a busy Wednesday night that saw the Seattle Sounders move above the red line, MLS is back in action this weekend with many crucial games.


D.C. United head up to Toronto (7:30 pm ET; MLS LIVE in US | TSN2 in Canada) to face a TFC side who are currently holding on to the No. 1 seed in the East, while United could clinch a playoff berth with a win.


Sporting Kansas City and the New England Revolution meet at Gillette Stadium (7:30 pm ET; MLS LIVE) in a game that both teams need, while FC Dallas could get closer to clinching the Supporters' Shield with a win against the LA Galaxy (9 pm ET; MLS LIVE).


If the regular season ended today ...


Eastern Conference Playoff Bracket


Conference Semifinals


1. Toronto FC


Conference Semifinals


2. New York Red Bulls




Knockout Round


3. New York City FC


VS.


6. D.C. United


Knockout Round


4. Philadelphia Union


VS.


5. Montreal Impact


Western Conference Playoff Bracket


Conference Semifinals


1. FC Dallas


Conference Semifinals


2. Colorado Rapids




Knockout Round


3. LA Galaxy


VS.


6. Seattle Sounders


Knockout Round


4. Real Salt Lake


VS.


5. Sporting Kansas City


Strength of Schedule and Expected Points


The strength of schedule metric takes into account the average points per game (PPG) that each team's opponents earn at home and on the road. The lower the PPG, the easier the schedule.


For example, if FC Dallas traveled to play the LA Galaxy, who have averaged 2.5 PPG at home, and then hosted the Vancouver Whitecaps, who have averaged 1.53 PPG on the road, their opponents' PPG would be 2.02.


The Expected Points metric is strictly based off of what teams have done up to this point. For example, New York City FC have collected 1.69 points per game at home this season and 1.40 on the road. So if they continue averaging those totals, with five more home games left and four more road games, they would be expected to collect 52.49 points.


Here are both the Strength of Schedule and Expected Points rankings for each conference:

Red Line Report: Can DC United, Seattle move away from their competition? - https://league-mp7static.mlsdigital.net/images/East-SOS-9-30.jpg
TEAM
EXPECTED POINTS
Toronto FC
53.98
New York Red Bulls
53.48
New York City FC
52.49
Philadelphia Union
46.61
Montreal Impact
44.70
D.C. United
43.35
New England Revolution
40.02
Orlando City SC
38.75
Columbus Crew SC
35.37
Chicago Fire
30.60
Red Line Report: Can DC United, Seattle move away from their competition? - https://league-mp7static.mlsdigital.net/images/West-SOS-9-30.jpg
TEAM
EXPECTED POINTS
FC Dallas
58.72
Colorado Rapids
56.99
LA Galaxy
52.20
Real Salt Lake
48.80
Sporting Kansas City
46.61
Seattle Sounders
46.47
Portland Timbers
43.99
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
38.68
San Jose Earthquakes
38.53
Houston Dynamo
38.05